BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 22 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 150.99
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Neutral L 132.39 24 33 1A 55 ( 8- 5) Georgia -18.59 9.59
2 09/10/2016 Away W 156.59 48 23 1A 91 ( 3- 9) Illinois 5.60 19.40
3 09/17/2016 Home W 169.07 56 28 1B 3 ( 13- 1) James Madison 18.08 9.92
4 09/24/2016 Home W * 148.96 37 36 1A 21 ( 8- 5) Pittsburgh -2.03 3.03
5 10/01/2016 Away W * 161.59 37 35 1A 13 ( 10- 3) Florida St 10.60 -8.60
6 10/08/2016 Home L * 121.24 3 34 1A 15 ( 10- 4) Virginia Tech -29.74 -1.26
7 10/15/2016 Away W * 164.12 20 13 1A 14 ( 9- 4) Miami FL 13.13 -6.13
8 10/22/2016 Away W * 153.23 35 14 1A 90 ( 2- 10) Virginia 2.24 18.76
9 11/05/2016 Home W * 171.57 48 20 1A 43 ( 9- 4) Georgia Tech 20.59 7.41
10 11/10/2016 Away L * 138.80 27 28 1A 71 ( 4- 8) Duke -12.19 11.19
11 11/19/2016 Home W 158.63 41 7 1B 16 ( 10- 2) The Citadel 7.64 26.36
12 11/25/2016 Home L * 137.90 21 28 1A 36 ( 7- 6) North Carolina St -13.09 6.09
13 12/30/2016 Neutral L 148.75 23 25 1A 19 ( 10- 3) Stanford -2.23 0.23
Averages 150.99 32.3 24.9
Best game: 171.57 = 28 point win over Georgia Tech
Worst game: 121.24 = 31 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev: 14.97